Baisse de prix du pétrole: quelles conséquences pour la Russie?

Economy-Finance Geopolitics
12 January 2015 |
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Baisse de prix du pétrole: quelles conséquences pour la Russie?

La baisse du prix du pétrole pose pour la Russie tout d’abord un problème de budget: l’équilibre budgétaire de la Russie se situe entre 90 et 120 US$ le baril suivant les analystes, bien au-dessus du niveau de 70 ou 80 $ consécutifs à cette baisse. Par ailleurs, depuis fin 2013, les États-Unis ont atteint un niveau record de leurs réserves énergétiques, leur record en tout cas depuis 1976, et sont devenus la première puissance énergétique du monde : devant la Russie pour le gaz, devant l’Arabie Saoudite pour le pétrole. Quelles peuvent être les conséquences de cette situation ?

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Who is Arnaud Leclercq?

Arnaud Leclercq

A French national and a multi-faceted banker, professor, and activist, Arnaud Leclercq currently serves as Non-Executive Chairman of an asset management firm in the Gulf. Formerly a Limited Partner and Executive Committee member of a Swiss private bank, he is also an author, investor, and professor of geopolitics. Beyond his professional career, he is deeply committed to preserving Breton heritage and defending the rights of rural landowners, while actively contributing to strategic foresight for the future of Brittany. He holds an MBA from HEC Paris, is an alumnus of Harvard Business School, and earned a degree in Private Law from Paris II University. A former student of the Paris Doctoral School of Geography, his PhD thesis (Paris I Sorbonne) was published in 2013 under the title "Russia, a Eurasian Power: A Geopolitical History from its Origins to Putin," which has since become a standard reference work. Since 2014, he has taught the Global Geopolitics course for the HEC Paris MBA, and his analyses are frequently sought after by the media.